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Bitcoin futures show renewed confidence amidst price surge

August 31, 2023
in Crypto Exchanges
Reading Time: 3 mins read
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Earlier this week, Bitcoin broke above the $27,000 barrier on the information about Grayscale’s court docket victory in opposition to the SEC.

The choice marks a pivotal win for Grayscale and carries profound ramifications for upcoming spot Bitcoin ETF purposes. As highlighted by CryptoSlate earlier, the court docket’s verdict on this case may affect the result of a number of spot Bitcoin ETF purposes submitted earlier within the 12 months.

Grayscale’s victory additionally appears to have bolstered the boldness of Bitcoin merchants. This renewed confidence is seen within the futures market, the place on-chain indicators have proven a notable uptick in leverage.

The Estimated Leverage Ratio (ELR) is a vital metric that provides insights into the extent of threat merchants are keen to imagine. It represents the ratio of the open curiosity in Bitcoin futures contracts to the Bitcoin stability of the corresponding trade. A rising ELR means that merchants leverage their positions extra, indicating an elevated urge for food for threat.

The Estimated Leverage Ratio (ELR) skilled a soar from 0.22 to 0.25 on Aug. 30, following Bitcoin’s soar from $26,100 to $27,700.

bitcoin futures Estimated Leverage Ratio (ELR)
Graph displaying the Estimated Leverage Ratio (ELR) for Bitcoin futures from Aug. 25 to Aug. 31, 2023 (Supply: Glassnode)

On one hand, the rise in ELR underscores that merchants are more and more bullish. For each Bitcoin saved in an trade, there’s a corresponding uptick within the futures contracts being traded. This development means that merchants, carried by constructive market sentiment, are keen to imagine higher dangers in anticipation of favorable returns.

Nevertheless, a broader perspective reveals one other narrative. The present ELR mirrors the degrees noticed at the start of August. In mid-August, the market witnessed a big dip within the ELR, plummeting from 0.28 to 0.22. This decline occurred in tandem with Bitcoin’s worth drop, which slid from $29,000 to $27,000.

Estimated Leverage Ratio (ELR) for Bitcoin futures
Graph displaying the Estimated Leverage Ratio (ELR) for Bitcoin futures from Jul. 1 to Aug. 31, 2023 (Supply: Glassnode)

Nevertheless, the present ELR ranges trace at a market threat profile paying homage to early August. This implies the market stays weak to sharp worth oscillations, very similar to those noticed earlier within the month. It’s important to keep in mind that BiBitcoin’sescent beneath $28,000 in mid-August triggered a cascade of liquidations. These pressured closures of leveraged positions launched extra volatility to an already tumultuous market.

bitcoin futures liquidations leverage
Graph displaying Bitcoin futures liquidation in August 2023 (Supply: Glassnode)

Whereas Bitcoin’s current worth surge and the corresponding rise in ELR point out a bullish sentiment amongst merchants, the market ought to stay cautious. The market’s present threat profile, mirroring early August, might nonetheless expertise vital volatility.

The publish Bitcoin futures present renewed confidence amidst worth surge appeared first on CryptoSlate.

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