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Bitcoin finds support at $20k and investors should keep an eye on the S&P 500 and the Fed.

March 13, 2023
in Analysis
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Bitcoin finds assist at $20k 
Many cryptocurrency corporations had publicity to SVB 
Bitcoin buyers ought to control the S&P 500 and the Fed

Cryptocurrency buyers had a tough 2022. Bitcoin and different main cryptocurrencies trended decrease, affected by the FTX failure, which triggered a lack of religion within the business.

However the market began 2023 on a powerful be aware. At one level, Bitcoin traded above $25k in February, after solely a few months earlier, the value sat under $17k.

Nevertheless, the passion pale away rapidly. Dangerous information, as soon as once more, weighed on Bitcoin. First, Silvergate Capital, a serious banker to the crypto business, introduced that it will liquidate its financial institution. Hit laborious by the FTX chapter, it closed the financial institution.

Second, Silicon Valley Financial institution collapsed on Friday. A financial institution run triggered the 2nd largest financial institution failure within the US historical past, and the repercussions unfold to the cryptocurrency market, too, as SVB was standard with crypto corporations.

BTCUSD chart by TradingView

Bitcoin finds assist at $20k

After failing at $25k in February, Bitcoin began to surrender a few of its 2023 positive aspects. The transfer under $22k opened the gates to a fast drop to $20k, the place the market discovered assist on the spherical quantity.

Bitcoin’s volatility is well-known. Sadly, such sharp drops or fast positive aspects usually are not uncommon within the cryptocurrency market.

However, even after the current drop, Bitcoin remains to be up considerably in 2023. Its YTD efficiency is 23.62%, remarkably contemplating the turbulences that affected buyers’ belief.

Lately, Bitcoin has additionally skilled an unusually excessive correlation with the US inventory market. As such,  buyers within the cryptocurrency market are maintaining a tally of the S&P 500 index too. Affected by the Fed’s tightening cycle, the inventory market had problem rallying – so did Bitcoin.

Transferring ahead, how the Fed responds to the SVB failure stays to be seen. Additionally, what’s going to it do at its March assembly – elevate the funds charge by 25bp or 50bp? Till then, the possibilities favor an extended consolidation for Bitcoin value at round $20k.

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