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Dogecoin surge rolls back the years, but it won’t last long

April 5, 2023
in Analysis
Reading Time: 4 mins read
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Key Takeaways

Dogecoin’s value surged 30% off the again of Elon Musk altering the Twitter brand to the Dogecoin canine
Meme season could also be over, nonetheless, our Analyst writes
Open curiosity surged to its highest degree since November
Musk is unfazed by a $258 million lawsuit accusing him of racketeering by pumping and dumping the Dogecoin value

It’s starting to really feel like 2021 once more. 

A yr that was crammed with facemasks and restrictions on how shut you may stand to any individual could also be banished to the depths of our recollections for a lot of, however for Dogecoin traders, that was a contented time. 

The meme coin exploded onto the scene, returning over 3500% for traders because it surged from $0.004 as excessive as $0.73. 

The one drawback is that meme cash don’t precisely provide numerous worth. Predictably, Dogecoin subsequently collapsed because the bear market ravaged the crypto world in 2022. 

The times of Robinhood traders blindly punting obscure tokens with doggy logos have been over, and Dogecoin careened down, the get together over as quickly because it started. 

Elon revives Dogecoin

Nevertheless it’s 2023 now. And after simply over 1 / 4 of value motion, Dogecoin has printed a 39% acquire. 

This was aided, by Elon Musk rolling again the clock with a great old style Dogecoin joke. He modified the emblem of Twitter to the Dogecoin canine Monday, in fact saying it on the platform itself. 

As promised pic.twitter.com/Jc1TnAqxAV

— Elon Musk (@elonmusk) April 3, 2023

Instantly, the worth jumped 30%. Previous to the endorsement, Dogecoin had been lagging the remainder of the market badly. Whereas its value was up 13% on the yr, Bitcoin and different cash have printed monumental features off the again of expectations round rates of interest shifting to a extra dovish forecast. 

derivatives markets, the Elon impact was tangible right here too. Open curiosity soared to its highest degree for the reason that FTX collapse final November, in response to knowledge from Coinglass. Open curiosity measures the quantity of open contracts that merchants have opened on the underlying asset. 

What occurs subsequent?

Making an attempt to foretell the short-term worth of any meme coin is a idiot’s endeavour, however I do ponder whether the meme craze is over. 

Regardless of occasions of the final couple of days, it is a very totally different market local weather than the hysteria of the stimmy-cheque-Robinhood period of 2020 and 2021. Rates of interest have been hiked sooner than any level in historical past, tech and crypto have been pillaged, and inflation is spiralling whereas recession fears abound. 

It’s a distinct world. Not solely that, however the novelty of memes, and crypto typically, has worn off. The Dogecoin story will not be a brand new one, the pumps and dumps now acquainted to all, maybe inciting much less FOMO whereas definitely attracting much less mainstream consideration than years previous. 

Quite a few scandals have rocked Crypto over the past yr and its fame has undoubtedly taken successful. With the dimensions of the bear market so recent in traders’ minds, it’s exhausting to ascertain a state of affairs whereby Dogecoin ramps up because it beforehand did. 

Then once more, it is a meme, and memes don’t obey rhyme or cause. I’ve by no means “invested” in memes, one thing which my pockets didn’t admire in 2020 and 2021, however maybe I simply don’t get it. 

Who is aware of with Elon anyway? Maybe he actually does have plans to include Dogecoin into Twitter correctly. Or perhaps he’s simply trolling, and Dogecoin is getting a fast day within the solar earlier than one more inevitable crash. 

Both approach, the most recent Dogecoin pump by Musk exhibits the billionaire will not be fazed by a $258 million lawsuit at present levelled at him. 

A Dogecoin investor accused him of working a pyramid scheme to assist the Dogecoin value. Musk has been accused of racketeering to pump up the Dogecoin value earlier than letting it crash. 

Musk’s legal professionals appear assured the case will likely be thrown out, nonetheless. 

Am contemplating taking Tesla non-public at $420. Funding secured.

— Elon Musk (@elonmusk) August 7, 2018

The time period market manipulation is thrown round quite a bit in crypto. It appears exhausting to conclude that what is going on right here will not be in that bracket, no matter that lawsuit, as frivolous as it could be. 

I ponder how shut we’re to seeing a tweet saying “taking contemplating taking Dogecoin non-public at $1 a token. Funding secured” from the large man myself?

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